Overlord Season 4
image source

Directed by Naoyuki Itō, and produced by Madhouse, the show was first premiered in Japan in 2015, followed by the second season in 2018, and then the third season followed in the second half of that same year 2018. The show is a Japanese anime television series, which storyline is based on light novel series written by Kugane Maruyama and illustrated by so-bin. This is 2020 and all ears have been itching to hear something about the coming of the Overlord Season 4.

Owing to the fact that the last season, which is season 3 was released the same year that season 2 was released, season 4 seems to be taking longer time, which has left the majority of the fans of the show wondering what has become of the series. If you are in this category of fans that are so curious to hear something about the Overlord Season 4, if it is coming or not, the latest news about the series, then we have got you covered here. Everything you need to know about the series from the Overlord Season 4, the storyline, cast, plot, and lots more.

What is the possibility that Overlord Season 4 will be coming out?

As a fan of anime, I have overtime mastered a strategy to fathom if a particular anime will have a follow-up. And from my previous predictions, I have always come out correct. This analysis is based on three points, namely popularity, amount of sales previous series made, and availability of the source material.

Now, by the time we are done analyzing these three points, you will actually be the one to tell yourself if there will be another season or not.

Now lets kick-off the analysis

1) Popularity:

How popular has the Overlord patent become over the years, starting from the first season to the third season? We can be able to verify this using medium such as social media platforms, Google Trend, even by looking at the official website, copies in print, and current merchandise. Also bear in mind that the popularity of sequels usually decreasing as the sequels keep increasing.

Now when you take a look at the twitter account of Overlord, you will discover that activities have been going on, the account currently has about 100,000 followers and recently tweeted about the possible. Remember we are trying to confirm how far the popularity of the Overlord franchise has gone since after the third season. Looking at the twitter account, and a tweet was made in April about Overlord anime re-broadcast.

Now secondly, looking at Google Trend, Overlord Season 3 had the highest ranking so far, which is like two times the ranking of the second season of Overlord that was released in 2015. Usually, as sequels go ahead it drops in ranking and popularity, so for Overlord to still maintain and increase in popularity from the first season till the third season is a good sign.

Also, we will look at how well the series is selling. And for Overlord, recently some major sales were made. New T-shirts and Key-chains also placed an order ahead for the Overlord 2020.

2) Availability of Source Material: 

The main source material for the majority of authentic anime series in 2020 is either manga, light novel, or mobile games. For this article, the anime series we are discussing is Overlord and the source material is the light novel. If that is the case, then the possibility for the release of  Overlord Season 4 very much depends on the availability of the latest release of light novels. If for any reason the story of the light novel comes to an end, then it could impede the chances of continuation of the Overlord series. Also, we will need to consider if the previous Overlord sequels have exhausted the available light novel, if that happens, then there won’t be source material available for more sequels.

How many light novel volumes of Overlord are available?

Overlord Season 4
Overlord Season 4 image source

It might interest you to know that by the time overload ended, only four volumes of the light novel are remaining. Fortunately there more released. Volume 13 (The Paladin of the Holy Kingdom II) was released on April 27, 2018, followed by Volume 14 (The Witch of the Falling Kingdom) which is the latest release on March 12, 2020 by author Kugane Maruyama. This means that Source Material is available, and there is every possibility that we will be seeing a season 4 of Overlord. Meanwhile, Kugane Maruyama also released a bonus novel (The Vampire Princess of the Lost Country) in April 27, 2019.

3) Sales and Profit:

Overload just like every other business wants to make sales and get profit. If a business is not making profit, then there is certainly no need to continue.

So far, Overload has released three seasons, we are going to look at how much sales and profit these ones has made, I’m certain that is a huge factor that will affect their decision of whether to release the fourth season.

For the fact that they have made seasons 1, 2, and 3 indicates that they have been making some money from it. The question is the profit declining or increasing. Let’s take a look at how much profits they made in the 2nd and 3rd seasons.

Overlord Blu-Ray Sales Performance

There was a huge decline in the patronage of Blu-Ray. After the huge patronage it got in the First season, subsequent seasons saw a massive decline. The first season sold 12,500 copies per volume, the second around 7,000 and the third 6000 copies for each volume.

Overlord Light Novel sales performance

Light Novel sales performance is amazing. Amongst all the light novel anime, overlord came second in sales after Sword Art Online. Each volume has the capacity to sell about 200,000 copies.

About 235,000 copies of Volume 13 sold out, and 195,000 for volume 14

Overlord Game sales performance

There is a game version of Overload called Mass For The Dead. It is based on Kugane Maruyama’s Overlord novel series. The global revenue of the game for the month of March 2020 is 500,000 Dollars. Registration for the came on the website started on June 25, 2018,  the game app was made available on February 21, 2019. In March 2020 alone the game made more than 500,000 Dollars revenue. Now that’s a good business that is worth doing over and over again.

See Also: Here Is Main Reason Why Designated Survivor Season 4 Was Cancelled

In conclusion, after all these analyses, considering the Popularity, availability of source materials, and sales performance, there is every reason to believe that definitely there will be a season 4 of Overload. The only reason why it might not happen this year 2020 is because of the current condition of things globally, I’m talking about the COVID 19 issue. So we are looking at either January or July 2021. Worst case scenario it will not exceed 2022.